Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.254461 0.347887 0.451946 0.574237 0.712068 0.860930 1.032292
2025-07-13 0.144723 0.266463 0.420163 0.617398 0.854983 1.124959 1.448712
2025-07-20 0.093143 0.223405 0.404923 0.651938 0.961525 1.323268 1.766313
2025-07-27 0.067254 0.206101 0.416146 0.714572 1.098829 1.556005 2.123357
2025-08-03 0.044662 0.183914 0.414070 0.754914 1.204658 1.748241 2.430415
2025-08-10 0.023234 0.151546 0.390142 0.761033 1.263736 1.881526 2.665827
2025-08-17 0.005294 0.105174 0.333506 0.714199 1.248995 1.920329 2.784889
2025-08-24 NaN 0.066705 0.278100 0.661086 1.220158 1.937297 2.873969
2025-08-31 NaN 0.046036 0.248711 0.642652 1.234910 2.006738 3.025029
2025-09-07 NaN 0.035301 0.236871 0.650067 1.284232 2.119580 3.229059
2025-09-14 NaN 0.023991 0.218051 0.643307 1.311904 2.203367 3.396222
2025-09-21 NaN 0.013784 0.194779 0.625689 1.322014 2.262930 3.532119
2025-09-28 NaN 0.011830 0.200186 0.662088 1.415377 2.437717 3.820317
2025-10-05 NaN 0.010825 0.209277 0.705991 1.521061 2.630460 4.133373
2025-10-12 NaN 0.009360 0.215294 0.743752 1.617295 2.810355 4.429863
2025-10-19 NaN 0.010880 0.236415 0.810592 1.757512 3.049398 4.801947
2025-10-26 NaN 0.010015 0.245163 0.853733 1.862168 3.241027 5.113993
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006239 0.235273 0.860245 1.911275 3.358142 5.331269
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001076 0.198605 0.810240 1.872396 3.355611 5.394982
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.161771 0.753401 1.819423 3.331601 5.429264
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.143773 0.733642 1.822620 3.382813 5.559029
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.138276 0.741592 1.869788 3.494503 5.767105
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.127018 0.734344 1.891684 3.570775 5.928905